Pape’s Buy-and-Hold portfolio delivers gains

01-13-2020
Pape’s Buy-and-Hold portfolio delivers gains

Exceeds targeted returns

 

The great thing about bull markets is that you don’t have to do anything to make money. As long as you’ve chosen good stocks for your portfolio, you can keep riding the rising tide to bigger profits. Of course, when the market turns around it’s a different story. But right now, things are going in our favour.

I created the Buy and Hold Portfolio for my Internet Wealth Builder newsletter seven and a half years ago, in June 2012. It has a very simple goal – invest in great stocks and then hold on to them, no matter what the market is doing. Over the long term, the strategy works. There are ups and downs, of course, but the underlying thesis is that the long-term trend of the markets is up. If you own good stocks, they’ll move with it.

This portfolio consists mainly of blue-chip stocks that offer long-term growth potential. It also has a small fixed-income holding. The original weighting was 10% for each stock, and a bond ETF that started with a 20% position but has now been reduced because equity increases have outpaced the bond market.

I used several criteria to choose the stocks. These included a superior long-term growth profile, industry leadership, good balance sheet, and relative strength in down markets.

The objective is to generate decent cash flow (all the stocks but one pay dividends), minimize downside potential, and provide slow but steady growth. The target rate of return is 8% annually.

These are the securities we hold with comments on how they performed since my last review in June. Prices are as of the afternoon of Dec. 4, and have largely remained unchanged or risen since then.

iShares Canadian Universe Bond Index ETF (TSX: XBB). After a strong rebound in the spring, the unit price stabilized in the latest six-month period, gaining just $0.11. We received six monthly distributions totalling $0.444 per unit.

BCE Inc. (TSX: BCE). BCE shares continued to move higher, adding $1.18 since our last review. We received two dividends of $0.7925 each.

Brookfield Asset Management (TSX: BAM.A). Brookfield shares took a huge jump in price during the period, rising $13.29, or 21%. That’s an impressive move for a mature company of Brookfield’s size. We received two dividends totalling US$0.32 per share during the period. Total return over the latest six months was 21.6%.

CN Rail (TSX: CNR). CN shares reached a high of $127.96 earlier this year but the recent strike hit the stock on expectations of weaker fourth-quarter earnings. Because of timing, we received only one dividend in the period, of $0.5375 per share.

Enbridge Inc. (TSX: ENB). Enbridge continues to move higher, with the stock gaining $4.94 in the latest period. We received two dividends for a total of $1.476 per share.

Toronto Dominion Bank (TSX: TD). The stock has pretty much marked time since our last review, gaining a meagre $0.65. We received two dividend payments for a total of $1.48 per share.

Alphabet (NSD: GOOGL). After a lacklustre first half of the year, Alphabet stock has been on a run, gaining US$241.72 in the latest period. This is the only stock in the group that does not pay a dividend.

UnitedHealth Group (NYSE: UNH). Investors seem to have discounted the threat to the U.S. health insurance system from the left wing of the Democratic party and this stock rebounded by $35.12 in the latest period. The quarterly dividend was increased by US$0.18 a share (20%) and we received two payments totalling US$2.16 per share.

Walmart (NYSE: WMT). We dropped the Walt Disney Company from the portfolio in June after contributing editor Glenn Rogers advised selling the stock for a 200% gain. Walmart was added in its place and is off to a good start with a total return of 9.6% in its first six months.

Cash. At the time of the last review, our cash reserves, including retained dividends, were $2,195.92. We invested that money at 2.8% in a Savvy Savings account with Motive Financial, earning $30.74 in interest.

The accompanying table shows the status of the portfolio as of the afternoon of Dec. 4. For consistency, the Canadian and U.S. dollars are considered to be at par. However, the currency differential increases U.S. dollar gains (or losses) for Canadians. Trading commissions are not factored in although in a buy and hold portfolio they are not significant in any event.

Comments: The new portfolio value (market price plus retained dividends/distributions) is $116,808.38, compared with $106,964.02 at the time of the last review. That represents a gain of 9.2% over the period, which is well beyond our goal.

All of our securities turned in gains in the period, with the sole exception of CN Rail.

Since inception, we have a total return of 133.9%. That represents an average annual compound growth rate over seven and a half years of about 12%, which is well ahead of our 8% target.

Changes: This is a Buy and Hold portfolio, so I am not making any changes to our holdings. However, we will add to our positions in these securities:

XBB – We will buy 10 units at $31.95 for a cost of $319.50. That will bring our position to 480 units and reduce our retained earnings to $161.66.

CNR – We will purchase another five shares while the price is down for a cost of $588.35. We now own 110 shares. Retained earnings are reduced to $46.32.

We will move our cash of $2,490.12 over to Laurentian Bank, which is currently offering 3.3% on digital deposits.

The accompanying table shows the revised portfolio. I will update it again in my Internet Wealth Builder newsletter in June.

Gordon Pape is one of Canada’s best-known personal finance commentators and investment experts. He is the publisher of The Internet Wealth Builder and The Income Investor newsletters, which are available through the Building Wealth website.

For more information on subscriptions to Gordon Pape’s newsletters, check the Building Wealth website.

Follow Gordon Pape on Twitter at https://twitter.com/GPUpdates and on Facebook at www.facebook.com/GordonPapeMoney.

Notes and Disclaimer

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The foregoing is for general information purposes only and is the opinion of the writer. Securities mentioned carry risk of loss, and no guarantee of performance is made or implied. This information is not intended to provide specific personalized advice including, without limitation, investment, financial, legal, accounting, or tax advice. Always seek advice from your own financial advisor before making investment decisions.